With the trade deadline a month away, the Minnesota Twins are expected to be buyers. However, trading their longtime right fielder, Max Kepler, might be a smart move for several reasons.
Max Kepler recently set the record for career home runs at Target Field and has been a key player for the Twins. While he’s likely to be honored in the Twins Hall of Fame in the future, trading him now could benefit the team as they gear up for a postseason run this fall.
First, Kepler is an impending free agent, likely to leave the team at the end of the season. Trading him now could allow the Twins to recoup some assets rather than letting him walk for nothing.
Second, the Twins have considerable depth in left-handed corner outfielders. Trevor Larnach is already a regular in left field, and Matt Wallner is excelling with the Saint Paul Saints. Wallner has outperformed Kepler recently, and the Twins also have DaShawn Keirsey, who is doing well in Triple-A. This depth makes Kepler more expendable.
Additionally, trading Kepler might be necessary to afford veteran talent at the trade deadline. The Twins’ ownership has imposed a strict cap on spending, and the worsening television deal may mean they won’t invest more money into the team. Trading Kepler and his remaining $4 million salary could allow the Twins to acquire a bullpen arm or address another need.
While Kepler might be expendable for the Twins, he could bring value to another team pushing for the postseason. Kepler has a high-upside bat, is a borderline Gold Glover in right field, and can play centerfield if needed. At 31 years old, a change in scenery might rejuvenate his performance.
Several teams could be interested in Kepler, including the Kansas City Royals, Atlanta Braves, and Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies, who have the best record in baseball, might be the best fit. They need outfield help and have the second-best bullpen fWAR in baseball, which could be useful for a trade package involving Kepler.
Despite the potential objections from fans, trading Kepler could be a strategic move. The Twins lack left-handed hitters, but Wallner or Keirsey could fill the void. There’s also the possibility of losing out on a compensation pick if Kepler turns down a qualifying offer, but his current performance might not warrant such an offer. Finally, while the front office has shown loyalty to Kepler in the past, they have a history of making unexpected moves.
Trading Max Kepler could open the way for Matt Wallner, allow the Twins to upgrade their bullpen, and help manage their spending limits. It’s a move that makes a lot of sense for the team’s future.
