October 28, 2024

The Houston Astros’ offseason strategy could be significantly impacted if Alex Bregman leaves in free agency, as they would need to address both his absence and other pressing roster needs. Without a clear replacement at third base, Bregman’s potential departure would leave a critical gap, adding to Houston’s existing areas for improvement. Even if Bregman remains with the Astros, the team may still explore versatile player options to shore up their lineup.

One potential target is Jurickson Profar, who could offer flexibility and fill various positions where the Astros need depth. Profar primarily plays as a second baseman and left fielder, but his experience includes stints at first base, which could prove beneficial considering Houston’s challenges at that position. Profar’s adaptability and strong performance would make him an attractive addition, especially given his ability to fill multiple roles. His projected three-year, $44 million deal would be a reasonable investment, providing Houston with a reliable, high-performing hitter who could add depth across the infield and outfield.

Jim Bowden from *The Athletic* highlights Profar’s strong 2023 season, where he made his first All-Star appearance after signing a one-year deal with the San Diego Padres. Profar’s standout statistics—such as his .280 batting average, 24 home runs, and .380 on-base percentage—made him one of the most valuable players in his position last season. His OPS+ of 134 and his versatility in the field make him a player the Astros could benefit from even if his offensive numbers were to slightly dip. Profar’s consistency and multi-positional experience would give Houston a reliable option for plugging gaps created by Bregman’s possible departure and addressing other roster needs at a reasonable price.

While Profar hasn’t played third base consistently since 2018, his versatility gives the Astros flexibility in both their infield and outfield rotations. Given his career-high performance in 2023, it is natural to have concerns about a potential decline, but even as an average offensive player, Profar would contribute significant value to the lineup. His switch-hitting abilities and high-contact approach would add depth to Houston’s batting order, easing the transition if Bregman leaves.

As free agency approaches, Houston’s final decisions will hinge on how much they are willing to invest in both retaining Bregman and filling other needs. Signing Bregman long-term for a substantial amount could limit the Astros’ budget for additional players, forcing the front office to make strategic choices about complementary acquisitions like Profar. However, if Bregman does leave, the Astros might increase their investment in versatile players to keep the roster competitive.

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